A quantum observation service · refreshed every 15 minutes

Schrodinger's Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz is both open and closed until somebody observes it. We observe it, so you can keep not thinking about where petrol comes from.

Current observation: the strait is
OPEN

The waveform has collapsed in your favour. Roughly a fifth of the world's oil floats on.

2 of the last 10 headlines contain somebody threatening to change that. This is within normal parameters.

~20%
of the world's oil passes through it, roughly 20 million barrels a day (US EIA)
33 km
wide at its narrowest point, with two 3 km shipping lanes doing all the work
0
times it has actually been fully closed, despite a truly heroic number of announcements
The evidence

Latest field reports

  1. How War Is Choking Global Oil Tanker Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and BeyondThe National Interest · 15 Oct
  2. Iran war live: Coalition says missile intercepted in Medina regionAl Jazeera · 15 Oct
  3. Singapore-flagged container vessel sunk in Strait of Hormuz 'matter for war risk underwriters', West saysInsuranceAsia News · 15 Oct
  4. Strikes on Super Tankers: Iran’s New Equation in the Strait of HormuzWANA News Agency · 15 Oct
  5. Oil Prices Fall Despite Strait of Hormuz Attacks as US Considers Easing Shipping SanctionsYahoo Finance · 15 Oct
  6. Strait of Hormuz attacks hit highest level since war began despite US claims of control - Region - WorldAhram Online · 15 Oct
  7. Attacks on Tankers in Mideast Surge, but Oil Exports Remain SteadyThe New York Times · 15 Oct
  8. Hormuz shipping disruption is starting to hit harvests, UN agency saysReuters · 15 Oct
  9. Container Ship Sinks in Strait of HormuzRigzone · 15 Oct
  10. Strait of Hormuz Is Closed, Passage Requires CoordinationWANA News Agency · 15 Oct

Methodology: headlines from Google News mentioning the Strait of Hormuz, refreshed every fifteen minutes. The verdict flips to CLOSED only when multiple current reports describe an actual closure, not the regularly scheduled threat of one. Oil volumes: US Energy Information Administration. This page is satire wrapped around real data, which lately is hard to tell apart from the news itself.

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